Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000107 0.000118 0.000129 0.000142 0.000157 0.000173 0.000191
2026-01-11 0.000085 0.000100 0.000118 0.000140 0.000167 0.000198 0.000237
2026-01-18 0.000072 0.000090 0.000112 0.000141 0.000177 0.000223 0.000286
2026-01-25 0.000063 0.000081 0.000105 0.000138 0.000183 0.000242 0.000326
2026-02-01 0.000056 0.000075 0.000101 0.000138 0.000190 0.000262 0.000370
2026-02-08 0.000050 0.000069 0.000096 0.000136 0.000194 0.000277 0.000408
2026-02-15 0.000045 0.000064 0.000091 0.000133 0.000196 0.000289 0.000442
2026-02-22 0.000042 0.000061 0.000089 0.000134 0.000204 0.000311 0.000493
2026-03-01 0.000039 0.000059 0.000089 0.000136 0.000213 0.000336 0.000552
2026-03-08 0.000036 0.000055 0.000084 0.000133 0.000214 0.000346 0.000586
2026-03-15 0.000033 0.000051 0.000080 0.000129 0.000212 0.000352 0.000613
2026-03-22 0.000031 0.000049 0.000078 0.000129 0.000218 0.000372 0.000669
2026-03-29 0.000029 0.000048 0.000077 0.000130 0.000226 0.000396 0.000735
2026-04-05 0.000027 0.000045 0.000074 0.000128 0.000228 0.000411 0.000788
2026-04-12 0.000026 0.000043 0.000073 0.000129 0.000235 0.000435 0.000861
2026-04-19 0.000024 0.000041 0.000070 0.000127 0.000237 0.000450 0.000917
2026-04-26 0.000023 0.000039 0.000069 0.000127 0.000242 0.000471 0.000990
2026-05-03 0.000021 0.000037 0.000066 0.000125 0.000243 0.000484 0.001046
2026-05-10 0.000020 0.000035 0.000064 0.000122 0.000242 0.000494 0.001096
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000034 0.000063 0.000123 0.000250 0.000522 0.001191
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000034 0.000063 0.000125 0.000260 0.000556 0.001306
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000032 0.000061 0.000122 0.000258 0.000564 0.001359
2026-06-07 0.000016 0.000030 0.000058 0.000118 0.000254 0.000565 0.001394